Trump vs Harris: Latest Polls Show Who Is Leading in 4 Swing States
US

Trump vs Harris: Latest Polls Show Who Is Leading in 4 Swing States

  • The 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris has tightened to an intense battle, with poll numbers fluctuating in crucial swing states
  • Trump holds slim, often within-the-margin-of-error leads in several battleground states, while Harris has secured narrow advantages in Michigan and Nevada
  • As poll averages reveal razor-thin margins, both candidates are in a virtual dead heat, showing the uncertainty heading into Election Day

The race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is extremely close, with the latest polls indicating a dead heat in Georgia.

According to Forbes, Trump is only slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Arizona, but his leads are all within the margins of error.

US election, facts on swing states emerge
US election, facts on swing states emerge. Photo credit: Anadolu via Getty Images
Source: Twitter

The Wisconsin race is incredibly close, with Trump leading 49% to 48% in the Emerson survey and 48.3% to 48% in Bloomberg's poll.

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The Quinnipiac poll shows the candidates tied at 48%, while the Washington Post-Schar poll has Harris leading 50% to 47%.

Key facts emerge about swing states

According to FiveThirtyEight's average, Harris is ahead by 0.2 points.

In Michigan, Kamala Harris is ahead by 49.6% to 46.5%, the largest lead in any state polled by Bloomberg.

However, it's important to note that this lead is still within the four-point margin of error.

Additionally, Harris' 49%-46% lead in Quinnipiac's polling, which has a margin of error of 2.9, is similar to her lead in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight's polling average, where she's up by 0.6 points.

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are running a tight race in Nevada.

According to Bloomberg, Harris is leading by a tiny margin of 48.8% to 48.3%, but a recent AARP poll shows Trump ahead by 47% to 46%.

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The Washington Post-Schar poll tied them at 48%, while the Wall Street Journal poll from October 11 showed Trump leading by 5 points.

It's worth noting that the margin of error in these polls is between 4 and 5 points. In FiveThirtyEight's polling average, Harris is leading by 0.1 points.

While speaking with Legit.ng, Abdulfatai Khan, a Senior Treasury Associate at Nile University, shared his view on how the outcome of the US election will impact the Nigerian economy:

“The outcome of the US election will likely have an impact on the Nigerian economy, particularly in terms of trade policies and global economic trends. As someone who has been following Nigeria’s economic policies, I can tell you that our economy is heavily influenced by global events, and the US election is no exception. A Trump presidency would likely mean a continuation of his "America-first" approach, which could lead to increased tariffs and trade restrictions. In terms of specific sectors, the US election will likely have an impact on Nigeria's oil and gas industry, as well as our agriculture sector. Overall, I believe that it is essential for our government to be prepared for any eventuality and to develop strategies to mitigate any negative impacts.”

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A new poll shows who is leading

Meanwhile, Legit.ng earlier reported that as global attention remains on the 2024 United States elections, reports indicate that Donald Trump is leading his rival, Kamala Harris.

A new poll from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), released on Wednesday, October 23, revealed that Trump, the Republican Party candidate, is leading Harris, the Democratic Party candidate, by two percentage points nationally, with 47% to her 45%.

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Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
Basit Jamiu avatar

Basit Jamiu (Editor) Basit Jamiu is a journalist with more than five years of experience. He is a current affairs and politics editor at Legit.ng. He holds a bachelor's degree from Ekiti State University (2018). Basit previously worked as a staff writer at Ikeja Bird (2022), Associate Editor at Prime Progress (2022), and Staff Writer at The Movee (2018). He is a 2024 Open Climate Fellow (West Africa), 2023 MTN Media Fellow, OCRP Fellow at ICIR, and Accountability Fellow at CJID. Email: basit.jamiu@corp.legit.ng.