Trump or Harris? Historian Who Correctly Predicted 9 of Last 10 Elections Makes His 2024 Prediction
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Trump or Harris? Historian Who Correctly Predicted 9 of Last 10 Elections Makes His 2024 Prediction

  • Kamala Harris, the United States vice president and democrat presidential candidate in the November election, has been tipped as the winner of the forthcoming poll
  • Allan Lichtman, a renowned historian who predicts presidential elections in the US, gave the latest prediction using 13 keys
  • According to Lichtman, eight of the keys favour Harris, while three favour Trump and the two other keys are on foreign policy, which is unpredictable

Renowned historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman has predicted the November 2024 presidential election between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in the United States.

Lichtman, who has correctly predicted 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, uses a system of 13 "keys" or true-false questions to determine the outcome. These keys assess the strength and performance of the White House party.

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Kamala Harris has been tipped to defeat Donald Trump in the forthcoming US presidential election
Historian Allah Lichtman says Harris will defeat Donald Trump. Photo Credit: @KamalaHarris, @realDonaldTrump
Source: Twitter

Kamala Harris vs Trump: US election results predicted

The "prophet" of the United States presidential election made the prediction in a video posted on CNN on Friday, September 6.

Lichtman's keys include factors such as midterm election results, primary contests, economic performance, social unrest, scandal, charisma, and foreign policy successes and failures. Based on his analysis, 8 keys favour Kamala Harris, while 3 favour Donald Trump.

However, Lichtman notes that foreign policy is unpredictable and could impact the outcome. Despite this, he believes Harris will win the White House, citing his system's accuracy in previous elections, except for the 2000 race between Bush and Gore.

Lichtman emphasizes the importance of voter participation, stating, "The outcome is up to you, so get out and vote."

How Harris became Democrat presidential candidate

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Harris had become the presidential candidate of the Democrat following the withdrawal of President Joe Biden in the forthcoming presidential election.

The vice president was subsequently endorsed by the party's bigwigs, including former President Barack Obama and his wife, Michelle.

Obama believes that Harris has the vision, leadership skills, and character to be an outstanding President of the United States. He is honoured to endorse her and looks forward to seeing the incredible things she will accomplish.

Tinubu reacts to Trump's assassination attempt

Legit.ng earlier reported that President Bola Tinubu reacted to the assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump.

The president said the development was distasteful, noting that violence has no place in a democracy.

Tinubu then sympathized with the former US President and other victims of the attack and wished them quick relief.

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Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
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Bada Yusuf (Politics and Current Affairs Editor) Yusuf Amoo Bada is an accomplished writer with 7 years of experience in journalism and writing, he is also politics and current affairs editor with Legit.ng. He holds B.A in Literature from OAU, and Diploma in Mass Comm. He has obtained certificates in Advance Digital Reporting, News Lab workshop, Journalism AI Discovery. He previously worked as Editor with OperaNews. Legit’s Best Editor of the Year for Politics and Current Affairs Desk (2023). Contact: bada.yusuf.amoo@corp.legit.ng