Atiku, Obi or Tinubu? Buhari’s Trusted Aide Gives Statistical Tips on How 2023 Elections Will Be Won and Lost

Atiku, Obi or Tinubu? Buhari’s Trusted Aide Gives Statistical Tips on How 2023 Elections Will Be Won and Lost

  • With less than 10 days to the 2023 polls, electorates, political parties and other stakeholders have been schooled on how the election will be won
  • President Muhammadu Buhari's aide, Tolu Ogunlesi, revealed that an election that is won without focusing on the population is a sham
  • He stated that the population density of voters across the six geo-political zones differs, and it is a determinant of victory

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The Special Assistant to President Muhammadu Buhari on Digital and New Media, Tolu Ogunlesi, has said the pathway to winning the 2023 presidential polls is by voting numbers per zone (and possible turnout).

He made this submission in a tweet sighted by Legit.ng on Wednesday, February 15.

2023 election
The trio of Atiku Abubakar, Bola Tinubu and Peter Obi has been tipped as the major forerunners for the 2023 presidential polls. Photo: Atiku Abubakar, Bola Tinubu and Peter Obi
Source: Facebook

Ogunlesi stated that an election is not won only by the percentage of voters but rather by the percentage of votes per zone.

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He tweet reads:

"Any Presidential poll that does not somehow account for voting numbers per zone (and possible turnout) is a sham, plain and simple.
"I repeat: Any poll that focuses ONLY on % of votes, without population-weighting, is a scam."

He further revealed that the six geo-political zones that make up the federation differ in voting population while noting that election victory cannot only be determined by an absolute national percentage because of the difference in voting population.

Ogunlesi said:

"The 6 geo-political zones of Nigeria do not have equal voting numbers, or turnout patterns. As a Poll you can ONLY rely exclusively on an absolute national % (i.e. simple average of the six regional %) as determinant of the winner, if and only if all zones had EQUAL numbers/patterns."

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In another development, Peter Obi, the presidential candidate of the Labour Party, has once again established his popularity ahead of the 2023 polls.

In the latest opinion poll by Nextier SPD, Obi out-pointed his counterparts by a wide margin at polls.

He led the polls with a 37% margin and was closely followed by Atiku Abubakar, who racked up 27% votes.

Peter Obi Leads Atiku, Tinubu in Latest Online Poll Ahead of 2023 Elections

Similarly, Peter Obi, the Labour Party presidential candidate, has won another independent research poll ahead of the 2023 elections.

Obi, a former governor of Anambra state, came out tops in the latest poll conducted by Nigerians Decide.

Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
Segun Adeyemi avatar

Segun Adeyemi (Current Affairs and Politics Editor) Segun Adeyemi is a journalist with over 9 years of experience as an active field reporter, editor, and editorial manager. He has had stints with Daily Trust newspaper, Daily Nigerian, and News Digest. He currently works as an editor for Legit.ng's current affairs and politics desk. He holds a degree in Mass Communication (Adekunle Ajasin University). He is a certified digital reporter by Reuters, AFP and the co-convener of the annual campus journalism awards. Email: segun.adeyemi@corp.legit.ng.