OPEC Makes Strong Prediction on Dangote Refinery's Effect on Europe’s Fuel Suppliers

OPEC Makes Strong Prediction on Dangote Refinery's Effect on Europe’s Fuel Suppliers

  • The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has predicted that the Dangote Refinery will impact European oil markets
  • The report said the facility in Nigeria will disrupt traditional diesel and jet suppliers, pressuring Europe’s refined petroleum market
  • Another report said the facility is designed to process only Nigerian crude oil grade when it becomes fully operational.

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Legit.ng’s Pascal Oparada has reported on tech, energy, stocks, investment and the economy for over a decade.

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has predicted that Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery will impact Europe’s oil industry, especially in the Northwest European gasoil market.

The 650,000 bpd-capacity refinery in Nigeria is expected to disrupt traditional diesel and jet suppliers, putting pressure on Europe’s refined petroleum product market.

Dangote refinery to disrupt Europe's market
President of Dangote Industries, Aliko Dangote set to begin petrol production Credit: Bloomberg/Contributor
Source: UGC

Dangote Refinery is Europe’s biggest challenger

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In its June Oil Market Report, OPEC identified the Dangote Refinery as a crucial player among global suppliers. Potential production increases are expected to challenge Europe’s reliance on established sources.

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The report said:

“Upside potential for higher production levels from Nigeria’s Dangote refinery, coupled with strong flows from the Middle East and new supplies from the Mexican Olmeca refinery, will likely exert pressure on NWE gasoil performance in the mid-term.”

According to reports, the Dangote Refinery began operations in January 2024 and has already started to influence global oil flows.

Standard & Poor Global said the facility’s total capacity could reshape the international crude oil market.

Dangote Refinery exports 3.5 billion litres of fuel

The oil and gas vice president at Dangote Industries Limited, Devakumar Edwin, confirmed the refinery’s first successful jet European export.

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He said the facility has already exported about 3.5 billion litres, representing 90% of its production.

The refinery has faced challenges with the crude oil supply from Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer, leading to the import of the product from the US and Brazil.

Refinery to source products from Africa

The Chairman of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, recently addressed concerns about the facility, reaffirming its primary focus on Nigerian crude.

According to reports, the refinery was built to use Nigerian crude and add value to it within Nigeria. Dangote said this while acknowledging that supply issues are being addressed.

He said the refinery remains open to sourcing crude from other regions, including Libya, Angola, and Brazil.

Dangote Refinery to sell NNPC’s 12.5%

Legit.ng earlier reported that the Dangote Group is reportedly exploring the sale of a 12,5% stake in the newly commissioned refinery to meet its financial obligations.

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Nigeria begins sale of new type of crude oil, gets first customer

The global rating agency, Fitch Ratings, disclosed this in its report on the refinery.

The Nigeria National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) acquired a 7.25% stake in the facility for $1 billion, with an option to purchase the remaining 12.75% stake by June 2025.

Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
Pascal Oparada avatar

Pascal Oparada (Business editor) For over a decade, Pascal Oparada has reported on tech, energy, stocks, investment, and the economy. He has worked in many media organizations such as Daily Independent, TheNiche newspaper, and the Nigerian Xpress. He is a 2018 PwC Media Excellence Award winner. Email:pascal.oparada@corp.legit.ng